current parameter status : 
sigma 2.0972 False
beta 0.97 False
phi 0.3041 False
psi 0.1689 False
delta_h1 -1.3907 True
delta_h2 3.9922 True
eta 0.0 False
tfp 0.9895 True
price 0.6573 True
risk 0.0 False
-- 
number of parameters:  10
number of free parameters:  4
current parameter status : 
sigma 2.0972 False
beta 0.97 False
phi 0.3041 False
psi 0.1689 False
delta_h1 -1.3907 True
delta_h2 3.9922 True
eta 0.0 False
tfp 0.9895 True
price 0.6573 True
risk 0.0 False
- using these moments:
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0031657988475830867
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.004043170914761445
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.06469366941483022
grad2 1.0300849198644249 0.017678418526382363
grad3 1.0241036808273303 0.018375668394591867
grad4 1.0237958579139899 0.01838935438590503
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.003962128668419577
f =  80.68614782408693 , pars =  [-1.39073598  3.99219586  0.98948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08576447077765553
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.981540864102975
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5717858854516831
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.023395380032717
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.034662514795022
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.039536655408346
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.838742522728176
f =  47.13711441261718 , pars =  [-1.29073598  3.99219586  0.98948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07945404782149355
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815408641029754
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6351501966499269
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0220178213728492
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0305007382535123
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0327341885352803
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8511675279908936
f =  77.13265606878639 , pars =  [-1.39073598  4.09219586  0.98948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0773694603172144
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9832974831357612
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5714915247064729
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.020643370825978
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0308291804364522
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0353808004020724
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8427777179027341
f =  477.0524022200188 , pars =  [-1.39073598  3.99219586  1.08948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07487071478749817
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815408641029741
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6625129861790056
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0212173752802327
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0289724063738839
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0306727986438446
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.9563155555974818
f =  90.20376741826938 , pars =  [-1.39073598  3.99219586  0.98948248  0.75727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0968123600497682
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815408641029738
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.557082235790838
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0235554701732723
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0354633674528553
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0408237892044965
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8379871589953481
f =  78.15394040478074 , pars =  [-1.49073598  3.99219586  0.98948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08780438311431392
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815408641029738
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5763788499424111
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0218960400932056
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0329629475416673
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0379525908845664
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8391996742887228
f =  85.96641699456202 , pars =  [-1.39073598  3.89219586  0.98948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.09396694606883771
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9795994998338016
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5907282209162561
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0230772784751607
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.034329821329241
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.039365950992181
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8379318385696795
f =  1673.2176917091497 , pars =  [-1.39073598  3.99219586  0.88948248  0.65727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.09838315823412583
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815408641029741
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.4846464817457633
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0278900704634588
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0449539234142327
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0530927603317588
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.7113715121955358
f =  108.21434717458865 , pars =  [-1.39073598  3.99219586  0.98948248  0.55727965]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07153881859622269
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815408641029744
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6486430704444842
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0218888021445725
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0300774270749946
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0319873026719113
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8396353121594916
f =  26.03418496194672 , pars =  [-1.19652543  3.99996528  1.01829802  0.67256605]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07635968235731398
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816837251769983
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6407048299778503
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0218029874959627
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0301025071659906
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0321353396433686
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.876766449330044
f =  27.480674962891484 , pars =  [-1.28971576  3.98518569  1.01775885  0.63944754]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07608116935650736
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9814110078225692
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6528481733113561
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0210896555942695
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0290816877111637
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0309916500523142
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8770295665553088
f =  914.1022189438321 , pars =  [-1.15571427  3.98866401  1.10444888  0.64455251]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.06618906482367053
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9814755829699258
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.7335359795858648
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0177241951089646
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.021436514998351
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0223472124987416
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.987794173416903
f =  35.90954996448802 , pars =  [-1.15317992  4.02091964  1.01014213  0.75983324]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08102823814175962
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9820635377633206
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6333791502995968
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0206597099577563
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0288191721766815
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0311396490465436
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8903249185372925
f =  102.7559144754845 , pars =  [-1.14276938  4.00314926  0.98896528  0.59357402]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.06912629582870622
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.981741951140999
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6473143666226886
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0215950704925343
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0295770433552065
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.031429801537089
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8432073402093839
f =  33.368528865641046 , pars =  [-1.10461602  4.02946699  1.00585326  0.69553202]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07495496743726505
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9822161935625994
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6373987174116401
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.021006549482632
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.029145480724644
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0311602533287403
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8640270182570452
f =  154.6923444936819 , pars =  [-1.21718557  4.09546193  1.03623629  0.66108711]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.06681695022612828
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9833519457975411
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6584464351405047
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0187362675720748
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0257448329458867
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0273148947558675
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.9111365861846468
f =  31.016394100364906 , pars =  [-1.21231888  3.95973929  1.0074214   0.71598039]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08307783252189552
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9809319150658988
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6428118169857687
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0217806941288157
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.030092994524659
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.032281510915207
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8894426287003941
f =  21.851068603890372 , pars =  [-1.23347876  4.00505138  1.00740392  0.67942043]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07776738988215336
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9817766469964693
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6395278209161557
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0212541309367735
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0295508070983725
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0316411592623287
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8738128756983657
f =  22.18543917060339 , pars =  [-1.19704145  3.99014091  1.00502813  0.67822176]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07823124610809304
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815028925753568
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6402315073568561
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0215310376146343
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0299654455847178
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0320628312501379
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8675625367158387
f =  47.990800759924184 , pars =  [-1.23165885  4.00862489  1.00095739  0.67291196]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07872569928254014
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9818416522323196
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6262307761543328
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0224973258788392
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0314810431253623
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0337319809078158
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8512525360389045
f =  20.48122590444391 , pars =  [-1.24675323  4.00492356  1.0151328   0.69180214]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07915673639525267
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9817743176618698
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6534356775651472
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.020201930174087
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.027700551741432
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0296354751450436
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8751769856901156
f =  21.56024932397395 , pars =  [-1.24188938  4.01022568  1.01182953  0.69791106]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0790322374975254
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9818706966070423
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.641515182576345
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0210555857195702
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0291363744398592
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.031220142553962
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8782713384207446
f =  26.739307243401967 , pars =  [-1.24063135  3.99772858  1.01272299  0.68957782]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07880412215644486
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816427112872864
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6517356649143927
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0204304077784452
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.028106018177899
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0300802528902537
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8825074739573037
f =  47.74246147742042 , pars =  [-1.24843781  4.00166167  1.0235045   0.68774789]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07748983348591372
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.981714770322925
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6515590505755796
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.020695355718644
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0283412142249013
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0303008696945144
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8922090180950926
f =  29.58272542730752 , pars =  [-1.25032585  4.01283337  1.01301782  0.68730789]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07753654176519423
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9819179105983694
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6557304238669096
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0200102893911502
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0273498816233289
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0292114100175398
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.882264316837395
f =  20.47731631975205 , pars =  [-1.25276419  4.002234    1.01023111  0.68609179]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0788686552001725
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.981725232603244
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6422797322236513
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0213024501267
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0294024423896082
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0314770742677828
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8760514566702731
f =  22.607424881486303 , pars =  [-1.24376514  4.00532874  1.01204835  0.68856913]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07853411129328952
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9817817008190289
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.642302313060565
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0213215644936817
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0294217375014867
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0314717752495968
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8784482505623036
f =  18.24896986026798 , pars =  [-1.26239409  4.00281933  1.00918201  0.68850463]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07963965228190391
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9817359262094503
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6388259802147469
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0217254384822105
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0299883409912889
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0320859305739147
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.870975134597895
f =  16.092043115328163 , pars =  [-1.26452463  3.99834153  1.00982001  0.69716506]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08084337534855364
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816539599182313
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6389799598828018
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0216191280266507
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0298266090683574
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.031953957149027
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8730176263145247
f =  31.158570421549534 , pars =  [-1.27155704  4.00192393  1.0136772   0.70194353]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08000747813732303
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9817195651538801
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6532918381975752
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0199852589899343
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0275066558154522
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0295081264699852
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8866553002879735
f =  16.42872980924774 , pars =  [-1.27214067  3.99261097  1.00694427  0.69622337]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0811056168791417
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815485250469216
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6425367462401057
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0211883228052132
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.029323223690749
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0314608926716655
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8755949662375302
f =  21.027573442564865 , pars =  [-1.26526966  3.99324318  1.00280469  0.69224195]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08164326870190582
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9815601866379817
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6329241166844762
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0219010446385388
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0304601901542916
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0327820790453777
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8624139075260466
f =  17.529811816097173 , pars =  [-1.25629851  4.00401794  1.00958348  0.69739584]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08014792168550892
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9817578046033051
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.642303688576585
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0210589325726844
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.029097798928992
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0311973988677194
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8733586325748819
f =  18.40554467923515 , pars =  [-1.25466803  3.99867634  1.01120786  0.69806462]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08001070048758004
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816601012922849
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6471480689961598
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.02183735182977
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0295149691796177
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.031399511033128
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8751847582293255
f =  22.863760520216633 , pars =  [-1.26187594  4.00006367  1.01905393  0.6949848 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07969912983073164
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816855271719065
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.641109453066133
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0215522333309037
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0295079067718826
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0316557988347186
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8812288684983784
f =  23.031829379857243 , pars =  [-1.25678584  4.00273182  1.0126602   0.69359158]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07929764042978361
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9817343278641014
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6425815690694487
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0209953604299067
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0289991813804724
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.031158901748394
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8805788329066695
f =  18.694984548833148 , pars =  [-1.26754691  3.99722454  1.01052524  0.69340729]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08024070477021514
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816334561969967
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6413274621344329
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.021466081237957
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0295921277629592
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0316895876338639
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8774817168678863
f =  18.78228111166082 , pars =  [-1.26400441  3.9975435   1.01011993  0.69721588]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08050565043183679
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816393135097005
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6453849753832374
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0208208009866397
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0287246218061603
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0308253520105055
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.877814538492184
f =  21.252593850122185 , pars =  [-1.26522252  4.00005058  1.00814277  0.69733523]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08007131107573029
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816852875403681
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6456238710612586
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.020865742202887
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.028835635228187
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0308809758069808
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8799393299093947
f =  18.13363515888211 , pars =  [-1.26443269  3.99864805  1.01074978  0.69698307]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08053693814448282
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.981659582573372
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6475845581885803
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.020559950750864
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0284168016761093
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0304770284824198
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8764670022078036
f =  40.78903180400888 , pars =  [-1.26488224  3.99807868  1.00894416  0.69735454]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07932428575622749
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816491371424186
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6469339407632685
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0207492081839697
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0286620778302513
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0307233661053
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.891002982792082
f =  16.190541230236466 , pars =  [-1.26505321  3.99840066  1.01015144  0.69794434]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08094166596500617
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816550446597029
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6412873932388837
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0209500629410881
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0289568401561986
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0311668892105925
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8738637371571584
f =  16.41980704627382 , pars =  [-1.26382165  3.99899057  1.00968145  0.69742074]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08052115358146071
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816658633597064
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6365232701909513
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0221359148803084
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0302937558036873
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0324988937171533
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8728548238887407
f =  17.852786427108683 , pars =  [-1.26438805  3.9979872   1.0092368   0.69644697]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08042994530198744
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816474583145091
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6361120443823636
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0213640507737498
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.029927058079253
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0321608384462142
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8771384325835906
f =  18.869122367141426 , pars =  [-1.26500639  3.99920017  1.00997172  0.6970777 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08034720068344735
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816697058218539
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6431328350644036
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0210827602779204
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0291575110984568
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0312581136817838
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8777627950734496
f =  33.59857368299832 , pars =  [-1.26479471  3.998993    1.00912059  0.69728106]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08136521362230122
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816659078879195
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.5891129919143648
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0198652096703578
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0303290016926576
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0350669245407134
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.89075212537708
f =  37.689292634528414 , pars =  [-1.26474153  3.99807055  1.00983716  0.69622739]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.07935594984545569
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816489879106247
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6464442510480822
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0204876872726616
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0284147230115153
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.030560976076409
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8896750388631345
f =  19.16000197016214 , pars =  [-1.26422545  3.99852897  1.0101086   0.69737017]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0802798921567411
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816573984512424
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6463577736577499
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0213117216615668
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.029128745863156
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0310785585571205
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8777154232989123
f =  18.811479659354088 , pars =  [-1.26450294  3.99824979  1.00984923  0.6971812 ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08039675903663945
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816522768212018
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6458693166104484
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0211757652277285
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.029175271776637
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.031140875087623
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8775106606269018
f =  23.12828359327849 , pars =  [-1.26449274  3.99855964  1.00981628  0.69704717]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08004322406868028
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816579609030794
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6454303360719975
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.020836920593889
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.028813115821503
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.03089134777094
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8817160058763128
f =  18.467787849421846 , pars =  [-1.26457396  3.99834373  1.00990199  0.69713605]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0804387454722166
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816540003506319
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.642248735679142
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.021104648980907
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0291608040551572
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.031304169419017
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8774921744483802
f =  17.411683315572837 , pars =  [-1.26455397  3.99838309  1.00978328  0.69724293]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08053869502192092
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.981654722337192
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6295098322065128
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0217744071574408
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.030602008960716
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0329833002569215
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8773865076369559
f =  16.379691131105574 , pars =  [-1.26456883  3.99830776  1.00979654  0.69708534]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0806737461094438
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816533403582083
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6309254796544798
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0219062723714196
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0306935787596927
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0329766226438164
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.875535195889876
f =  16.45870977451466 , pars =  [-1.26445131  3.99833734  1.00976383  0.697127  ]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.0806474683627524
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816538831454679
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6322957233572493
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0214343822666567
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.030124552402054
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0324922184780274
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8754348067009642
f =  16.66976832453668 , pars =  [-1.26456079  3.99831421  1.00973265  0.69718278]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08057945054491072
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816534588219138
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6346143310012672
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0221954579626813
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0306512278110753
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0328385212669968
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8752750915763197
f =  16.545828300457355 , pars =  [-1.26454539  3.99833932  1.00974699  0.69710001]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08063561727870472
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.981653919490745
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6326930542195423
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0214310614019284
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.03012572574322
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.032475319939012
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8755454174229337
f =  18.459612203317292 , pars =  [-1.26450836  3.99843055  1.00983198  0.69712423]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08043435116175424
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816555930463061
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.6424950050879747
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0211070562070517
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.029173249820002
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0313025618544849
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8774351712838987
f =  16.79557312932049 , pars =  [-1.2645275   3.99831799  1.0097841   0.69713699]
- current state of moments (data, sim):
mshare 0.08828150000000001 0.08066608082431184
trans_fromgood 0.9733491820465242 0.9816535281175904
trans_frombad 0.48295688684199206 0.639316028271547
grad2 1.0300849198644249 1.0215867623619275
grad3 1.0241036808273303 1.0297816481659754
grad4 1.0237958579139899 1.0319099694921816
tfp 0.872561963669148 0.8751531209859321
estimation did converge, now computing standard errors...
             value   free        se
name                               
sigma     2.097183  False       NaN
beta      0.970000  False       NaN
phi       0.304140  False       NaN
psi       0.168902  False       NaN
delta_h1 -1.264525   True  0.029667
delta_h2  3.998342   True  0.141089
eta       0.000000  False       NaN
tfp       1.009820   True  0.077833
price     0.698165   True  0.021492
risk      0.000000  False       NaN
